News & Commentary
The President Needs to Learn More About the Real Meaning of the Massachusetts Senate Election
Elections matter. The 2008 presidential election of Barack Obama was
historic. The 2010 Senate election of Scott Brown was less symbolic,
but perhaps more substantive. President Obama should learn from last
week's result. Massachusetts voters spoke loudly, and what they said
bodes ill for the President's agenda of expanded government.
President Obama took office at a time of economic crisis.
Americans wanted change, and a majority gave their votes to Barack
Obama. But events haven't worked out as people expected: Americans
haven't seen the change that they desired. That's why Scott Brown was
elected to the Senate seat long held by Ted Kennedy: Massachusetts
citizens overwhelmingly supported Barack Obama in November 2008; they
voted for Brown in January 2010.
The President's State of the Union showed that he had gotten
this message-in part. He knows that turning around the economy is
paramount, and that voters are disgusted with Washington. Yet he needs
to dig deeper to understand more. He might start by looking closely at
the results of a poll conducted by our sister organization, the
Independent Women's Voice, of Massachusetts voters. The results show
that it will take more than new rhetoric to win back voters: voters are
focused on issues and want real change in Washington.
The poll showed that health care was voters' most important
concern. Nearly one-third of those polled put the current health care
debate as their top priority. Another 57 percent ranked it in the top
three. And even in liberal Massachusetts, voters don't back a
government medical takeover. Of those who ranked health care as their
number one concern, 51 percent opposed the leading congressional
proposals.
The preferences of self-identified political independents are
most telling: Independent men rejected the measure by a 57 percent to
35 percent margin. Independent women were opposed by a similar margin:
55 percent to 33 percent.
Voters want a fresh start on health care. Only 16 percent of
respondents believed that health care negotiations should "keep going
as it is," and nearly half thought it would be important to open the
legislative process to the public.
In the State of the Union, President Obama said he was open to
new ideas about how to fix health care. So are Massachusetts voters.
And many of those polled back market-oriented reforms: allowing small
businesses to band together to buy insurance (57 percent supported),
helping individuals to buy insurance (50 percent), implementing
malpractice reform (46 percent), and permitting insurance sales across
state lines (36 percent).
Of course, health care wasn't voters' only concern. Nearly
one-in-five said economic recovery was the most important issue;
another 62 percent ranked it within the top three. And once again,
Massachusetts voters rejected Obama administration policies. Forty-six
percent of voters believed that increased government spending-the Obama
Administration's preferred tactic during year one-is more likely to
deter the economic recovery, while less than a third believed spending
would speed it up. Four out of five said they believed small business
tax credits would stimulate economic growth. A majority of voters also
want the Bush income tax cuts to be reauthorized, and cuts in
government expenditures to reduce government debt.
The Christmas Day attempted terrorist attack also put national
security on people's minds. Nearly two-thirds of Massachusetts citizens
said that it was "very" or "somewhat" important to their vote when
Brown said: "In dealing with terrorists, our tax dollars should pay for
weapons to stop them, not lawyers to defend them."
Brown's victory obviously was good news for the Republican
Party. It shows that they can win elections even in the most liberal
territory. Yet this election was not a vote for the Republican Party,
which continues to lag behind the Democrats in public support among
Massachusetts voters. Voters saw the election as a referendum on the
Democratic policy agenda. They found the agenda wanting, so elected
Scott Brown to send a message to Washington.
The message is clear: Massachusetts voters believe health care
reform is important, but they want it done right. They don't like the
Democratic plan, and they especially don't like the Democrats' attempt
to railroad a bad plan into law. Instead, the people want real,
bipartisan solutions. Voters believe the economy requires immediate
attention. Yet even in liberal Massachusetts, voters want traditionally
conservative solutions: spending cuts, tax reductions and less
regulation.
Finally, Massachusetts voters emphasize the importance of
protecting Americans from terrorism. That doesn't mean giving up the
liberties which have made America great. But it does mean treating
foreign terrorists different than domestic criminals.
Last year when Sen. Ted Kennedy died, no one imagined that the
Massachusetts Senate election would turn out to be so important. But
voters wanted to send Washington a message. If the President and
Congress don't listen, they are likely to find that the voter
revolution won't stop with one state.
Michelle D. Bernard is the president and CEO of the
Independent Women's Forum (IWF) and an MSNBC political analyst. Bernard
is a regular panelist with MSNBC's Hardball with Chris Matthews and The McLaughlin Group, and a political commentator for The Hill's Congress blog.






1 Comment
Vee | February 1, 2010, 3:20pm | #
Was surprised that Scott Brown won. Agree largely with your analysis.
Nevetheless, I think his victory was due to two large factors: (1) Martha Coakley given all that I have read ran the worse campaign in history. Why? She took it for granted she was running in a "safe seat and it was not necessary to 'market' her ideas for "Change" to voters. So she flunked the test!
Second, voters are just fed up with Democrats in the Senate. Seeing the constant 'overtures' to Blue Dogs and Senate Republicans.
I too voted for Barack Obama. I hold no label as Democrat or Republican. Absolutely a conservative on some issues, more progressive at other times. Have voted on both party lines when the issue is important.
That said, yes, Obama got the message. But to a larger extent -- a message was sent to Democrats on a whole. We gave them political capital. They are failing to use it!
Reminded of Republicans when they have power. No fooling around. Strident on fulfilling the agenda of their party's base. That's the way it should be.
In short, victory was handed to Scott Brown; the message-- never take your base or voters for granted. Cut the continuous fight, show us results.
http://www.zipinpolitics.com
Michelle Seldom missed your comments on MSNBC/Hardball, during the election cycle. Saw you recenty with Chris Matthews. Would love to join the Roundtable one of these days. Keep up the good work!! Enjoy point/counterpoint.